SAN FRANCISCO(AP)
Google Inc. has successfully tackled a lot of complex problems
during its first decade in business, but even the Internet search
leader may be hard pressed to find a way to sustain its rapid
earnings growth amid a sputtering economy in the United States and
parts of Europe.
The challenge came into sharper focus late Thursday after Google
released second-quarter earnings that fell below analysts'
expectations and management acknowledged the economic turmoil
appears to be causing consumers to click less frequently on the ads
that generate virtually all its profits.
That was enough to unnerve already jittery investors, despite
Google management predicting the Mountain View-based company will
still thrive even if the economy weakens further.
Google shares fell $40.69, or 7.6 percent, in extended trading
after finishing Thursday's regular session at $533.44. If the
descent holds in Friday's trading, it will wipe out about $13
billion in shareholder wealth and leave Google's stock price
below $500 for the first time in three months.
The red flags raised Thursday included a dramatic slowdown in
the company's hiring pace and Google Chairman Eric
Schmidt's description of the economy as
"challenging." Google's chief economist, Hal Varian,
even participated in the company's conference call for the
first time to discuss business conditions.
"That was a tip-off," said Cantor Fitzgerald analyst
Derek Brown. "Economic sluggishness has entered the discussion
at Google, more so than we have ever heard."
Google earned $1.25 billion, or $3.92 per share, during the
three months ended in June. That represented a 35 percent increase
from net income of $925 million, or $2.93 per share, at the same
time last year.
If not for costs incurred for employee stock compensation,
Google said it would have earned $4.63 per share. That figure
missed the average earnings estimate of $4.74 per share among
analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial.
Google's second-quarter revenue fared slightly better than
earnings, rising 39 percent to $5.37 billion from $3.87 billion at
the same time last year.
More than half the revenue _ $2.8 billion _ came from
international markets, helping to offset some of the economic
weakness in the United States.
After subtracting commissions paid to its ad partners,
Google's revenue totaled $3.9 billion _ about $30 million above
the average analyst estimate.
Stanford Group analyst Clayton Moran interpreted the performance
as "confirmation that there is a slowdown in Internet
advertising that's affecting Google."
The trouble may stem more from reluctant consumers than
advertisers.
The number of paid clicks on the Web sites operated by Google
and its partners during the second quarter fell 1 percent from the
first quarter, the first sequential downturn that the company has
ever reported in the category. The 19 percent year-over-year
increase in Google's paid clicks also was the company's
lowest ever.
"Consumers are being cautious in their online spending
patterns, just as they are in their off-line spending
patterns," Varian told analysts during Thursday's
conference call.
Google's second-quarter showing could foreshadow more
difficulty for rival Yahoo Inc. when it releases its results for
the same period next Tuesday.
After years of earnings disappointments, Yahoo needs to post
good numbers and offer an upbeat outlook to reassure its
shareholders as it tries to fend off a rebellion led by activist
investor Carl Icahn. A rocky quarter would give Icahn more fodder
in his effort to oust Yahoo's board at the company's Aug. 1
annual meeting so he can sell all or part of Yahoo to Microsoft
Corp.
A big part of Google's earnings letdown had nothing to do
with online ads.
After paying $3.2 billion to buy ad service DoubleClick in
March, Google had less cash in the bank and was receiving less
income on its remaining money because of lower interest rates.
Those factors produced just $58 million in interest and other
income in the second quarter, down from $137 million a year
ago.
"We continue to believe we are very well positioned,"
Schmidt assured analysts.
Varian told analysts the company might even benefit from a
"Wal-Mart effect" if rising energy and food costs prod
budget-conscious consumers to search for deals more frequently
online.
Long known for its free spending ways, Google appears to be
watching its budget more carefully too. The company added just 448
employees during the second quarter _ the fewest hired since the
fourth quarter of 2004 when it ushered in 353 new workers.
Since 2004 Google has been hiring an average of nearly 1,200
workers per quarter to expand its payroll to 19,604 employees.
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